The public record
Every pick we publish is logged here with its reasoning and settled automatically from the stat data. Losses stay on the board forever — that's the whole point. We never guarantee outcomes and never sell picks.
You're seeing our launch seed: sample picks graded against real July 2026 Summer League results to demonstrate the format (note the losses). Live picks start flowing as the bench posts them.
Atlanta's Vegas roster defends the arc and San Antonio's group has been turnover-prone with heavy guard usage from two-way contracts. Blowout risk runs through Atlanta's pressure.
Settled: Hawks 93-66 — covered by 23.5.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.
Two grind-it-out Summer League rosters, and unders have value when both teams lean on non-shooting bigs. Miami's pace has been bottom-third in Vegas.
Settled: Heat 119-86 — 205 total points, over by 9.5. Miami's 34-point fourth buried this.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.
Detroit's Isaac Jones has been the most efficient interior scorer on this Vegas roster and Philly's group bleeds second-chance points. Take the points in a coin-flip game.
Settled: 76ers 101-93 — Detroit lost by 8, didn't cover. Jones's 22 wasn't enough against Broome's 19/13.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.
Golden State's Vegas group moves the ball (top-3 in assists through the first week) and Dallas has leaned on iso guard play. Ball movement travels; hero ball doesn't.
Settled: Warriors 101-90. 22 team assists and a 51-30 rebounding edge; Lendeborg 21/10/6 ran the show.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.
Utah's second-half adjustments have been sharp all week and Washington plays two rookies 28+ minutes. Late legs favor the home rotation.
Settled: Wizards 92-88 — Utah's 51-38 second half fell just short; lost by 4, no cover at +2.5.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.
Philadelphia has the two best two-way rebounders in this matchup and Detroit's backcourt is careless under pressure. Home side of a short number.
Settled: 76ers 101-93. Broome controlled the glass: 13 boards, 8 offensive.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.
Dybantsa and Tre Johnson both live at the line and Utah fouls at the highest rate in this event. Free throws inflate Summer League totals.
Settled: 92-88 — 180 combined, over by 4.5. 14 combined FTs from Dybantsa/Peterson alone.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.
Big Summer League spreads are coin flips once benches empty — grab the touchdown-plus with a roster that crashes the offensive glass.
Settled: Hawks by 27. The 'big SL spreads are noise' angle got run over by a 26-14 assist gap and a 29-point lead.
Sample pick — seeded against real July 2026 results to demonstrate the tracker format.